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/Archive of Google Drive: OCSWinter2020/Meeting Minutes (Class notes)/2020-03-30 (class 12).docx

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Open Collaborative Science PSYC 4540 T39/7310 T34 Winter 2020

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Chung_JournFinEco_2014_RrOb - Hong & Duan/Reed - Secondary Data Replication - 19gz

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Mobile Applications in the Management of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Primary Health Care: A Scoping Review

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Measuring food decision-making with mouse-tracking: focus on ethics

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Measuring food decision-making with mouse-tracking: focus on ethics

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The influence of breathing-induced activation on the information search and decision strategy

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The influence of breathing-induced activation on the information search and decision strategy

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A cross-linguistic review of citation tone production studies: Methodology and recommendations

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Recurring suboptimal choices result in superior decision making

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Criminal prosecutions of political leaders have become salient election issues in the United States and globally, yet few studies have examined how such prosecutions affect public opinion. Donald Trump’s criminal prosecution and ultimate victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election offer a valuable case to evaluate these effects. How did elite rhetoric about the accused leader’s prosecution—from Donald Trump himself and from his federal prosecutor—shape public opinion? Using a pre-registered survey experiment with 3,000 self-identified Republicans and independents, we test how alternative framings of Donald Trump’s federal criminal prosecution affect public support for the accused leader, his prosecution and prosecutor, and democratic norms. Against theoretical expectations, we find that Trump’s rhetoric attacking his prosecution does not increase support for him or for retaliatory violations of democratic norms. By contrast, legal rhetoric from his federal prosecutor reduces intention of voting for the prosecuted leader, but only among respondents who do not view the leader favorably pretreatment. Legal rhetoric also increases normative evaluations of the prosecution overall but causes sharp backlash against the prosecutor among the leader’s supporters. Finally, legal rhetoric increases support for democratic norms among some sub-groups. Overall, elite rhetoric about Donald Trump’s prosecution has strikingly limited effects on public opinion, as pretreatment favorability toward the prosecuted leader shapes whether or not citizens are receptive to rhetoric about legal accountability.

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The Court of Public Opinion: The Limited Effects of Elite Rhetoric about Prosecuting Political Leaders

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Pre-Analysis Plan for "How Does Messaging about Trump’s Prosecution Affect Public Support for Democratic Norms?"

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Data will be made publicly available upon publication.